A report from the independent PBO
An extract from the PBO report
AUSTRALIANS need to lower their demands for generous government payments if the nation is to bring its finances under control, the Parliamentary Budget Office has warned, as it forecasts a surge in new programs over the decade ahead.
Ringing the alarm on the budget challenge, the independent agency predicts that the cost of major programs — such as childcare, schools and aged care — will keep growing faster than the economy unless parliament votes to curb the outlays.
The report sheds new light on the cost of the Senate impasse on budget reform by predicting that the commonwealth would save $116.6 billion over the coming decade if the government could legislate all its changes.
However, the findings also counter Labor’s rhetoric about “cruel” cuts by showing that key programs will keep growing even if the Senate approves the government plan to slow the rate of increase.
Spending on the Age Pension will total $601.3bn over the next 10 years, an annual growth of 2.8 per cent, even after budget changes that save $23.4bn over that period, according to the data underpinning the PBO analysis.
Spending on the Medicare Benefits Schedule — the scheme that could see a new $7 fee on GP visits — will total $287bn over 10 years, growing by 2.7 per cent a year, even after budget savings worth $18.6bn over the same time.
The PBO, which reports to federal parliament rather than the government, warns that Australians will have to accept an “even greater share of the burden” through higher taxes if political leaders do not cut outlays.
Federal spending rose by 3.8 per cent a year over the past decade to outpace the 3 per cent growth in the overall economy.
This could be brought under control over the next 10 years — with spending growth of 2.4 per cent compared with economic growth of 3 per cent — but only if the budget reforms are passed.
But the PBO says that heavy spending over the past decade has lifted the Australian community’s expectations for government services and payments.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/parliamentary-budget-office-warns-that-somethings-got-to-give-with-our-national-spending/story-fn59niix-1227033742285?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%253A+TheAustralianPolitics+%2528The+Australian+%257C+Politics%2529
The independent Parliamentary Budget Office has called into question claims health spending is spiralling out of control, noting government spending is projected to grow in line with the economy over the next decade and that health will account for only a small amount to that growth.
The PBO projected government spending would climb from $384 billion to $682 billion over the coming decade and warned that "elevated community expectations are likely to put ongoing pressure on governments to increase discretionary spending on major programs over the medium term".
The PBO report also found spending on medical benefits accounts for just 1.8 per cent of the projected growth in government spending over the next decade, while spending on public hospitals accounts for just 1.4 per cent.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/budget-office-says-health-not-a-longterm-spending-issue-20140822-107c0y.html#ixzz3BBLWj55T