A report from the independent PBO

An extract from the PBO report

AUSTRALIANS need to lower their demands for generous government payments if the nation is to bring its finances under control, the Parliamentary Budget Office has warned, as it forecasts a surge in new programs over the decade ahead.

Ringing the alarm on the budget challenge, the independent agency predicts that the cost of major programs — such as childcare, schools and aged care — will keep growing faster than the economy unless parliament votes to curb the outlays.

The report sheds new light on the cost of the Senate impasse on budget reform by predicting that the commonwealth would save $116.6 billion over the coming decade if the government could legislate all its changes.


However, the findings also counter Labor’s rhetoric about “cruel” cuts by showing that key programs will keep growing even if the Senate approves the government plan to slow the rate of increase.

Spending on the Age Pension will total $601.3bn over the next 10 years, an annual growth of 2.8 per cent, even after budget changes that save $23.4bn over that period, according to the data underpinning the PBO analysis.

Spending on the Medicare Benefits Schedule — the scheme that could see a new $7 fee on GP visits — will total $287bn over 10 years, growing by 2.7 per cent a year, even after budget savings worth $18.6bn over the same time.

The PBO, which reports to federal parliament rather than the government, warns that Australians will have to accept an “even greater share of the burden” through higher taxes if polit­ical leaders do not cut outlays.

Federal spending rose by 3.8 per cent a year over the past decade to outpace the 3 per cent growth in the overall economy.

This could be brought under control over the next 10 years — with spending growth of 2.4 per cent compared with economic growth of 3 per cent — but only if the budget reforms are passed.

But the PBO says that heavy spending over the past decade has lifted the Australian community’s expectations for government servic­es and payments.


http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/parliamentary-budget-office-warns-that-somethings-got-to-give-with-our-national-spending/story-fn59niix-1227033742285?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%253A+TheAustralianPolitics+%2528The+Australian+%257C+Politics%2529

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The independent Parliamentary Budget Office has called into question claims health spending is spiralling out of control, noting government spending is projected to grow in line with the economy over the next decade and that health will account for only a small amount to that growth.

The PBO projected government spending would climb from $384 billion to $682 billion over the coming decade and warned that "elevated community expectations are likely to put ongoing pressure on governments to increase discretionary spending on major programs over the medium term".

The PBO report also found spending on medical benefits accounts for just 1.8 per cent of the projected growth in government spending over the next decade, while spending on public hospitals accounts for just 1.4 per cent.


Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/budget-office-says-health-not-a-longterm-spending-issue-20140822-107c0y.html#ixzz3BBLWj55T

At our ages why worry........you two should stop writing boring crap on here and get out more.

Davey

Your choice to read or ignore as its your choice to get out and about or sit in front of the computer .

.  Personally it will not affect me one way or the other but I am concerned for the next generation who are not known as savers and they will be wanting the same pensions, concessions of the seniors of today and if things continue on as they are now it will not be available when they are of pensionable age. 

We must get more people into the work force and we need for money in the coffers.  We are not in dire straights at the moment but as any sensible person realises debt has to be paid back.  The alternative is not an option.  The sooner we get back into surplus the better.

Keep labor out of government and Australia will be one of the richest countries on earth

It does seem unbelievable that we have got to a position of having to pay foreign banks a billion dollars a MONTH  just in interest...

whereas the previouse govt put seventy billion into a fund to pay civil servants pensions otherwise future generations would be.

Radish

I find it hard to believe that govts have divested revenue making businesses like Telstra and now worry about low revenue . Thats why some state govts are slaves to the gambling industry . They have flogged off utilities etc or are in cahoots with the big Australia ponzi scheme . A ponzi scheme that says more people , more people while there are less jobs and services to go around because of more people . A mining industry that is mostly foreign owned and when not minimising tax is sending profits abroad . Multinationals who not only charge aussies more for windows , songs and movies but pay bugger all tax compared to their revenue . They complain about piracy on the net but are pirates of the tax sysytem .

Do you think Telstra pays corporate tax . Plus dividends to 1.4 million Australians..

I find it hard to believe that govts have divested revenue making businesses like Telstra and now worry about low revenue .

But they haven't the govt receives more revenue now...from corporate tax than they did when it ( Telstra / PMG dept) was state owned ..in addition 1,4 million Australians receive dividends which they did not when it was state owned. In addition we now have competition instead of a state owned monopoly..,

Back to that $96 billion "Labor debt" inherited by the Howard government in 1996 - which actually comprised $40 billion of Fraser government debt that carried through the Hawke-Keating years taking the true level of Labor debt in 1996 to $56 billion. Bringing down that debt wasn't all about constrained spending and higher taxes, in fact neither of those things were characteristics of the Howard-Costello years. Government asset sales between 1996 and 2007 worth $72 billion wiped the net debt out entirely with $16 billion to spare. With Joe Hockey as Coalition treasurer after September 14, Medibank Private could be the next to go for what was estimated during the 2010 election campaign would reap $4.5 billion.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-05-07/alberici-economic-comparisons/4672166

source

I take it you have reliable data to show that govt revenue in real terms from Telstra would be less ? I also take it you understand what in real terms means . I am sometimes an optimist . Shareholders do not count as its not govt but personal revenue they receive ie cannot be counted . It can however be added to revenue lost . Scratching my head to think of one govt utility that delivered same or better service cheaper once being sold off . In fact forget cheaper , the same taking in inflation etc . Power prices have grown greatly , well above the small addition of the carbon price . 9% of total prices rices of 60% . Now if I added the social contract and training of apprentices I would be here all night .

Still no concern to a person who has the mantra , bugger you jack I,m alright is it ?

Telstra...

Would you like Australia to be the only country in the world to have a state owned monopoly of communications.

As per usual no answer just a question back . The reason I post the doll is obvious when your usual practice is to deviate or ask a question rather than answer . If not that its some inane retort or perjorative . I save time and sanity by posting a doll .

" Would you like Australia to be the only country in the world to have a state owned monopoly of communications. "

Ever heard of Singtel ? One amongst many .

You asked a question of name one state owned utility that prices were cheaper after privatisation , I gave it . Telstra . 

Singtel is not a monopoly ..,or state owned .you can buy their shares here in Australia..,

It is actually 2014 socialism died a long time ago just ask Bob or Paul.,

Added to these costs, state governments except Victoria and South Australia are maintaining their ownership monopolies over electricity networks that account for half of the delivered cost. Confirming common knowledge about government businesses’ inefficiencies, the Productivity Commission has found that electricity networks in state ownership are 80 per cent more expensive than those under private ownership.


http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business/why-paul-howe-is-almost-right-on-energy-costs/story-fni0dcne-1226847447114

Senator Cormann told the ABC's Insiders program there was "no rush to deal with specific structural reforms", such as the university funding changes, because many of these changes did not begin until July 2015 or later.

"We have laid out our plan to reduce the unsustainable spending growth trajectory Labor left behind," he said.

"Essentially, if we stay on a spending growth trajectory that takes us to 26.5 per cent of the share of GDP when tax revenue on average over the last 20 years was 22.4 per cent of the GDP and [if] you don't want to balance the books by reducing spending, the only alternative to balance the books is to increase taxes."


Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/finance-minister-mathias-cormann-refuses-to-rule-out-tax-increases-20140824-107qlq.html#ixzz3BH7uuz4p 

Federal spending rose by 3.8 per cent a year over the past decade to outpace the 3 per cent growth in the overall economy.

This could be brought under control over the next 10 years — with spending growth of 2.4 per cent compared with economic growth of 3 per cent — but only if the budget reforms are passed.

There are figures that say one thing and figures that say another if said differently . You have a big nose or your nose suits your face .

History of winners

Kim Williams claims governments should never be in the game of anointing winners (''How NBN used fibre to hang itself'', Insight, 23/8). Yet for decades, Australian governments chose to invest in copper infrastructure to build one of the best telecommunications networks in the world. When Telstra was privatised, the capital from copper was transferred to the Future Fund, which now stands at more than $100 billion. A nice little government earner.

During the 1940s and '50s, the grants from the government in Washington to scientific and academic institutions fostered the development of what became the internet. Interestingly, when the largest private phone company in the world, AT&T, had the opportunity early on to acquire the internet, it declined - based on its own cost-benefit analysis. In the 1960s domestic satellites were developed as part of the US space program. And since the 1990s, a clear case can be made that had Telstra not been privatised, and the regular annual $4 billion dividends to government continued, then the NBN could have been half built and half paid for by now. Instead Australian taxpayers are most likely now to have to pay Telstra $11 billion to create the latest NBN model.

Professor Trevor Barr, Swinburne University of Technology, Hawthorn


Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/comment/the-age-letters/memo-to-hockey-not-all-voters-think-same-way-20140825-3eauo.html#ixzz3BSkbZ7yC

Govt should never waste public money on being in business . Basic research.of course should be funded through univercities .

You misunderstand arp net  or why labor paid billions to telestra. Or why the US is privatising space Enterprises.

Pete. Your writing style is very similar to a journo mate I worked with years ago.

You didn't work with the Daily Planet by any chance did you?

If you recall a tall handsome chap with glasses , that's me

Clarke it's been so long ...

You remembered. How are you old friend.

Been a while. I remember we had this massive falling out after you stole my girl, Lois.

Did you every marry the girl?

No I heard she ran off and married Superman but it didn't last she went Lebo and was last seen with Superwoman...

Couldnt have been Superman's fault. He was probably too busy saving the planet.

Why could'nt she be happy just being barefoot and pregnant in the kitchen.

The pregnant bit could have been a problem for supers I heard he had a rod of steel...Probably put the poor woman off of men..

Plus supers had Phsyco problems.... Superman’s lingering heartsickness at leaving Krypton and living as an alien on Earth was classic survivor’s guilt.

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