Where does Scott Morrison rank among Australian prime ministers?

Paul Strangio, Monash University

This week Scott Morrison, Australia’s 30th prime minister, will deliver his valedictory speech to the House of Representatives. As Morrison leaves parliament, it’s timely to ask where he is placed in the pantheon of Australia’s national leaders.

Already there have been unflattering verdicts on Morrison’s prime-ministerial standing. For example, in her withering account of his leadership, veteran columnist and author Niki Savva writes that among detractors, “Morrison was regarded as the worst prime minister since Billy McMahon”. Moreover, according to Savva, following the August 2022 revelation of his commandeering of five ministries during the COVID pandemic, his reputation sunk still lower: “he was worse than McMahon. Worse even than Tony Abbott, who lasted a scant two years in the job”.

How can we rank prime ministerial performance?

How might we know how Morrison’s record stacks up against his prime-ministerial peers? One device for evaluating comparative leadership performance is expert rankings. Australia has had a slow take-up in this field, unlike the United States, where presidential rankings have a lineage stretching back three-quarters of a century and are a veritable scholarly cottage industry.

In recent years, there have been forays into this territory in Australia, with three prime-ministerial rankings conducted by newspapers and two initiated by Monash University in 2010 and 2020. (I was the organiser of both of these Monash rankings.)

These rankings have been largely consistent in their results. The experts, mostly political historians and political scientists, have judged the nation’s greatest prime minister to be its second world war leader, John Curtin. The other leaders in the top echelon are, in rough order, Bob Hawke, Ben Chifley, Alfred Deakin, Robert Menzies, Andrew Fisher, John Howard, Paul Keating and Gough Whitlam.

Billy McMahon is often considered to be Australia’s worst prime minister. National Archives of Australia

At the other end of the scale, Billy McMahon, who is chiefly remembered for being defeated by Labor’s Whitlam at the December 1972 election, thereby bringing to a close the Liberal Party’s postwar ascendancy, has been consistently rated Australia’s prime-ministerial dunce. Even his biographer, Patrick Mullins, acknowledges that McMahon has become “a by-word for failure, silliness, ridicule”.

However, in the most recent of the rankings, the Monash 2020 survey, McMahon had a close competitor for bottom place: Tony Abbott. Forty-four out of 66 respondents to that survey assessed Abbott’s prime ministership a failure. Other prime ministers to the rear of the field included Abbott’s contemporaries, Kevin Rudd and Malcolm Turnbull.

Morrison was not included in the 2020 rankings because as the incumbent his prime ministership was incomplete, and so it was premature to evaluate his performance. Let us now, though, measure his record against the nine benchmarks that the experts were asked to consider in rating the nation’s leaders.

So how does Morrison shape up?

The first is “effectively managing cabinet”. To date, little has been disclosed about the integrity of cabinet processes under Morrison’s stewardship. Yet, whatever the merits of that management, his scandalous breach of the norms of cabinet government by secretly assuming several ministries will irretrievably stain his reputation in this regard.

Next is “maintaining support of Coalition/party”. That Morrison avoided being deposed by his party, which was the fate of his immediate predecessors (Rudd, Julia Gillard, Abbott and Turnbull), counts in his favour. As the ABC docuseries Nemesis shows, however, his prime ministership was marked by serious frictions both within the Liberal Party and between the Liberal and National coalition partners.

“Demonstrating personal integrity”. This was not one of Morrison’s strong suits. As Savva makes searingly evident, and Nemesis also highlights, Morrison earned a reputation for being economical with the truth (including hiding his acquisition of colleagues’ ministries), for evading accountability and shifting blame (“I don’t hold a hose, mate”), and for corrupted processes under his watch (an example being the shameless pork-barrelling of the community sport infrastructure program in the lead-up to the 2019 election).

“Leaving a significant policy legacy”. Here Morrison is partly damned by his own words. In office, he insisted he was not concerned about his legacy, equating the idea with a vanity project. Indeed, an obsession with the theatre of politics and a corresponding lack of substance caused his prime ministership to come to be seen as bereft of purpose.

On the other hand, management of the COVID pandemic, however mixed, accords a significance to his time in office. AUKUS stands as the other major legacy of Morrison’s prime ministership, entrenched as it has been by his successor, Anthony Albanese. The agreement promises to influence Australia’s defence capability until the middle of this century and beyond, although only time will tell whether it enhances the nation’s security or is a dangerous white elephant.

“Relationship with the electorate”. Morrison’s record here is mixed. In his favour, he won an election (something McMahon couldn’t claim). Yet, by the time of the 2022 election, according to the Australian Election Study, he was the least popular major party leader in the history of that survey, which dates back to the 1980s.

His public toxicity was a primary factor in the Coalition’s defeat, one of his Liberal colleagues comparing the depth of public sentiment against the prime minister in 2022 to “having a 10,000-tonne boulder attached to your leg”.

“Communication effectiveness”. Styling himself as a Cronulla Sharks-supporting “daggy dad” from the suburbs, at least initially Morrison’s communication mode seemed to be well received in the community. He was relentlessly on message during the 2019 election campaign.

But the shine rapidly wore off his persona following that victory, with growing doubts about his authenticity. Rather than persuade, his habit was to hector, and rather than empathise, he exuded smugness. A series of notorious tin-eared statements, which especially alienated women voters, came to define his image. By the end he was known as the “bulldozer-in-chief”.

“Nurturing national unity”. An innovation of Morrison’s at the beginning of the pandemic was the national cabinet. Bringing together the prime minister and premiers, it worked effectively for a time, only for partisan interests over lockdowns to strain relations between Canberra and the states.

Under pressure, Morrison also flirted with divisive culture-war politics, instances being his divisive Religious Discrimination Bill and his egregious handpicking of the anti-transgender Liberal candidate Katherine Deves to contest the 2022 election.

“Defending and promoting Australia’s interests abroad”. The AUKUS pact has vehement critics, led by Morrison’s prime-ministerial peers Keating and Turnbull, who argue it jeopardises national sovereignty.

There is no denying, however, that AUKUS was Morrison’s signature foreign policy enterprise. On the other hand, Australia’s reputation as a laggard on climate change under the Coalition hurt our international standing, not least among Pacific neighbours. The Morrison government’s belated commitment to a net zero carbon emissions by 2050 target was too little, too late. Bellicose rhetoric towards Beijing also led to a deterioration in relations with the nation’s major trading partner (as well as estranging Chinese-Australian voters).

“Being able to manage turbulent times”. Here, again, Morrison’s record is at best mixed. In his favour is decisive early actions to ameliorate the COVID pandemic, headed by the JobKeeper program. As the pandemic progressed, however, his government was too often flat-footed, demonstrated by its dilatory approach to procuring vaccines. His response to natural disasters, most notably the 2019-20 Black Summer bushfires, was another shortcoming, exemplified by his secret holiday to Hawaii in the midst of the crisis. Arguably, his prime ministership was doomed from that moment.

And the verdict?

Prime-ministerial reputations can take time to settle. The passing of years fleshes out historical knowledge as well as providing greater perspective on performance in office. For example, the fate of AUKUS will quite possibly affect Morrison’s standing well into the future.

Even allowing for this, it seems safe to forecast that Morrison will be rated among the least distinguished of Australian prime ministers. His government’s relatively successful early management of the COVID pandemic and the legacy of AUKUS might spare him from falling below McMahon and Abbott at the bottom of the prime-ministerial heap. But avoiding that ignominy will probably be a close-run thing.

Paul Strangio, Emeritus professor of politics, Monash University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

What do you think about Scott Morrison’s career? Why not share your opinion in the comments section below?

Also read: Experts warn tax system is worse than it was 20 years ago

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16 COMMENTS

  1. I never thought there would be a PM worse than Billy Big Ears (McMahon) but I think Morrison came close particularly his appropriation of various Ministries using COVID as the excuse when the only decision he made had nothing to do with the pandemic.

  2. What can you say about a man who runs away as soon as the fires started to in AUSTRALIA AND USED almost a million dollars of taxpayers money for his holiday overseas
    HE ALSO USED TAX PAYERS MONEY ON HUMIDIFIERS ON HIS HOUSE
    AS a man on around $250,000 dollars a year he also got his bank balance up 9 million dollars during his term
    HOW DID HE DOTHATB
    LETS NOT FORGET HE WAS SACKED ON HIS PREVIOUS EMPLOYMENT FOR MISSAPROPIATING FUNDS AND YOU CANNOT TELL ME HE MADE 9 MILLION DOLLARS IN 3 YEARS LEGALLY

    • Who stopped the ALP boats that the Australian tax payer is still forced to fund none other than ScoMo prior to being the PM. Who stuffed up Holden leaving Australia none other than Gillard by paying GM America but forgetting to have the Australian tax payer bail out signed off and allowing the millions to transfer direct to GM in America.
      Do you want me to go on just read what actually happens and stop listening to the ALP BS lies.

  3. Would have to be the lowest thug of whom I am aware. When he is sacked by the Liberal party for corruption and incompetence in the Immigration job while located in Qld. Went to NZ in a similar line of work. Was sacked again for similar reasons.
    Back to NSW; tried for Liberal nomination for Cook. Unsuccessful.
    Then put in the dirt to get nomination overturned.
    Elected by voters in Cook – sort of “sleepless in Seattle (Cook?)”

    Smirked his way through succeeding years while transposing money to his Hillsong happy clappers, taking “referral fees(?) along the way. How else would he make his millions (on an honest – is there such a person – politician’s salary)

    If someone could just stumble along the gutter, they could kick his head as it raised above the slime line.

    As well as Hillsong, he wasted our money on AUKUS – a real “joke”. Submarines so big their operational area is limited and of little value for Australian coastal protection.

    Unlike others he spent nothing to little on infrastructure of lasting value.

    A complete waste of space – and now off to USA to “use/sell out” his Australian knowledge to con further dollars into his slimy pocket.

  4. As usual a biased report on a conservative prime minister, there was an orchestrated plan to get the LNP out of office, he was targeted by bunch of teals who pretended they were ex LNP supporters, they got millions of dollars in donations from a left leaning billionaire, he was targeted by two women over his handling of their sexual abuse cases, one of them who he had actually made Australian of the year and who attacked him at the end of her tenure for no apparent reason, other than to support Anthony her words on the ABC that bastion of unbiased reporting, the other woman that attacked him has been found wanting in the integrity department. To end this, Australia’s worst prime minister had to have been Gough who tried to sell Australia to overseas interested parties, was caught in the act and lost government because he thought he was too smart for your average Australian. As for Albanese’s work experience, I believe he went straight into a union office and has only worked in that area until becoming a politician, he has several investment properties worth a few million, all that on a union salary before turning to politics. He wasted half a billion dollars to leave his legacy with the voice, then when the voice failed he denied it was anything to do with him, how much could we have improved the lives of our most vulnerable people. We all have different ideas as to the best and worst, my money is that Bob Hawke will come out on top for one of the few Prime Ministers that tried to bring Australians together and not divide the nation. My opinion others have a right to disagree.

    • @[email protected]
      Talk about EXTREMELY BIASED.
      It was opposition LNP and it’s leader that Blocked many of the Governments bills, including the Appropriation Bill, the one that makes sure that the Government can Pay for it’s Employees etc.
      There were a few other issues ending with Frazer petitioning the Governor General to Dismiss the Elected Government.
      Whitlam had a huge legacy of Good for the Country, including education, community health and wellbeing, Indigenous Australia, multiculturalism, women’s rights, economy and the arts, and many more.
      There have been other Politicians who have gone straight from University into Politics, and have risen to reasonable heights, with qualifications like Bachelor of:- Political Studies, Economics, and Law.

  5. Yes I wouldn’t expect any less from ultra left wing commentators, Whitlam was in the process of sending the country bankrupt, the millions that that was being paid to Kemlani to organise the loans that would have kept us in the red for years to come, or the fact the resources minister was sacked for corruption, I’m not claiming corruption only happens on one side of politics, Bishops $5000 helicopter ride cost her the speakers job and her seat, which was the correct decision, Burke’s $12,000 family holiday to WA cost him nothing, in fact he is on the front bench now. Some people only see the faults they want to see because of their extreme bias. Haters just gotta Hate TS

  6. Certainly not one of our best for all the reasons described by the author and member comments. However we now live in a world of constant social media weaponisation and unabashed media bias not applied to those in the past.
    As example , Albo can do no wrong at present in the media’s eyes and is only subject to faithful reporting of statements by the current media pack ( although some cracks now appearing). Compare that to the level of aggressive media attention Morrison received, albeit some of it self inflicted.
    Yes, he ended up a disaster but make no mistake Albo and those who follow him will suffer the same fate in the end..
    Finally , yes he did achieve AUKUS but will only be remembered for it if it fails in the hands of others. For me his best performance was in COVID.. in a time of mass world wide deaths and total unknowns he had the added burden of our Federation System where by Constitution Law the States had almost total power and control, a fact seemingly lost on many.
    There is no way anyone could win in that politically stacked situation. No wonder the current administration is resisting all calls for a Royal Commission Review on that …because it might just end up elevating Scomo in the rankings at the expense of those who at the time manipulated State powers to their own interests ahead of the nation.

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